Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this week in a sea of ridging. The first part of this week features NW flow on the front of the ridge and the last-half, SW flow from the back-side of the ridge. By this weekend it looks like the upper-jet will be pushed S over NJ in a trough formed by remnants of Cristobal passing to our N into E Canada. At the surface we’re currently seeing high pressure nearby eventually drift into the Atlantic. That will keep today and the first part of Tuesday under the nicer-feeling conditions. Warmth and humidity should then return with the SW flow by Tuesday afternoon through at least Friday. Wednesday through Friday do not looks like washouts but will have NJ in an unstable warm sector. That should allow isolated pop-up showers and thunderstorms to randomly form. A cold front should then push through around ~Friday which should cool the region slightly but not remove all of the unsettledness.
Note: Unless specifically mentioned by location (Example: NNJ elevations, SENJ immediate coast, Interior CNJ/SNJ, etc.) assume the following forecasts are statewide for New Jersey.
Monday (June 8) high temperature should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most areas. Areas away from the ocean have the best chance to reach near-80 or even low-80s. Skies should be mostly sunny with a pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.
Tuesday (June 9) high temperatures should reach the upper-80s for most areas, maybe near-90 for the warmest locations of interior CNJ/SNJ. Immediate coastal areas of SENJ might hang in the upper-70s/lower-80s especially once a sea breeze front forms. Expect humidity to be well on its way back into the region by late-morning/afternoon hours. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from near-60s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.
Wednesday (June 10) high temperatures should reach the upper-80s/lower-90s for most areas. SENJ coastal areas could hang in the upper-70s/lower-80s especially once a sea breeze front forms. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a humid feel. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S. Overnight lows should fall into the mid-to-upper 60s.
Thursday (June 11) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s for most areas. Coastal areas could hang in the upper-70s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with showers and thunderstorms possible. The humid feel should remain. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.
Friday (June 12) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible. Winds should be light out of the W. Overnight lows should range from near-60 to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.
An early look at the weekend indicates temperatures not as warm. Highs in the upper-70s/lower-80s statewide kind of stuff. Lows in the upper-50s/lower-60s. As of now it looks mostly dry but cannot rule out isolated pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC
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